how to know your chance easily postflop

HI little blog have no fear i didn't forgot you !! not been bloggin much these day but i was really busy because of the university and because the poker leagues at poker.com took all my free time!! but let's talk about poker texas holdem strategy!!

After doing by myself the probabilities to catch your hand postflop regarding the number of your outs!( i know i'm mad and that this probab are already on the net, but it's a good way to understand it that to make it)so after i've done it and checked if they were good i remarked something interesting!

The thing is that the percentage can be known very easily and with out any big calculation! you just need to count well the nummber of outs you have to improve your hand!

For example : you have 65 of hearts and the flop is 9h, Jh, 2c let's say in that example that you're with one opponent and that he has JdTd in the hole, so at this point he has only a pair of Js with 10kicker!
at this point you only think to catch a fluch to win the hand.. (backdoorstraigt or backdoor 3o kind will give you 2more % that we'll add later.. )

So..the number of your outs to improve your hand into a winning hand are the hearts still in the deck (2h, 3h, 4h, 7h, 8h, 10h, Kh, Qh, Ah) there are 9 , 9 cards that you can catch on turn to improve you hand!

the thing i remarked is that : to know you chance(%) on the flop for the turn, you only have to multiply the number of your outs by 4!!
so 9X4=36% + the 2%of Bacdoor straight od 3okind = 38% !! easy no??

and the other amazing thing is that if you don't catch your flush on turn, ( ex : turn is 7c) to know your chance for the river you only have to multiply your outs by 2

at this point you still have only 9outs to win the hand so..
9X2=18%!!18% chance to catch your flush on river!

this rules of 4 and 2 works pretty well for a nb of outs under or equal to 12 ! between 12 and 22 it's better to multiplicate by 3.5 instead of 4 ( X2 is still good over 12 outs)

here is the recap board:

href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhdHb6G2cfUiHOGfaMnWTMu7ACeuC2LoovZ4A5KKcFRik0waAAxdY8TYaRiLdRMuQEiD5w7j1sUd8uzQN_HUh7M_1CwLhGKSWCZmCF87xdPnr644Vx9fcHlpvHtBW50FMhKOCtsjthZ_IpZ/s1600-h/out's+trick.bmp">


it's a very easy way to know your chance postflop in a hand and then you can ask yourself some question like :
do my oponent have some of my outs in his hand? which is not good for my chance!
or what if i got one of my outs but that it makes the board pairing and put a potential full house on that board? do my opponent flopped a set? etc etc...

all good question which help to have an idea of what your opponents have!!!

this is with that technics that you can make some magic trick and tell the hand your opponent have! yes it works sometimes !!and then your oponents will think your spooky

enjoy

NOOK